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Gibraltar are 50/1 to beat Ireland tomorrow night.
Gibraltar are 50/1 to beat Ireland tomorrow night.
Image: Associated Press

Here are 10 things more statistically likely than Gibraltar beating Ireland

The bookies are offering shorter odds on Gay Byrne returning to the Late Late.
Oct 10th 2014, 3:35 PM 9,082 6

IRELAND PLAY GIBRALTAR in a Euro 2016 qualifier at the Aviva Stadium on Saturday, and fans should expect a comprehensive win. Ireland are 1/100 to get three points while Gibraltar can be backed at 50/1 to pull off a shock upset tomorrow evening.

Given those ridiculous odds, we took a look around some of the betting sites for some long shot bets that are more statistically likely to happen than the minnows beating Ireland (according to the bookies at least).

Clare footballers to win 2015 Munster championship – 30/1

Clare had a pretty good 2014 championship, running Kerry close before being pipped by Kildare in the qualifiers. But to win a Munster title in 2015 the Banner county would have to beat the All-Ireland champions Kerry and then possibly Cork in the final. Tough, but not as tough as the task Gibraltar will face against Martin O’Neill’s men.

Glasgow to win the European Rugby Champions Cup – 33/1

The Scottish team made the Pro12 final last year but were hammered by Leinster and their European pool this year contains Toulouse, Montpellier and Bath, which is pretty tough.

Kildare to win the All-Ireland football championship – 40/1

Kildare made the fourth round of the qualifiers where they lost in extra-time to Monaghan but they are still a long way off winning the ultimate prize. Just how bad are Gibraltar going to be?

Liverpool to win the Premier League or the Champions League – Both 33/1

Liverpool’s performances have been pretty dreadful so far this season so once again, it must mean that Ireland should win by four or five tomorrow.

Connacht to win the Pro12 – 50/1

I know this is statistically just as likely rather than ‘more likely’, which was advertised, but isn’t this worth a one quid bet?

Russia to win Euro 2016 – 33/1

Russia’s performances under Capello were so putrid during the World Cup that it is a little shocking that they aren’t 50/1+.


Here are some non-sporting bets that are more likely than Gibraltar winning.

Christian Bale to be the next James Bond – 33/1

James Bond AND Batman. Now that would be some career.

The Grand Budapest Hotel to win Best Picture at the Oscars – 40/1

It personally hurt my feelings that this was such a long shot. I really enjoyed it.

Ireland to win the next Eurovision – 40/1

I wouldn’t be the biggest Eurovision fan, but peripherally I know that we have been poor recently. Didn’t Dustin do it one year?

Gay Byrne to be the next Late Late Show host – 40/1

Surely 40/1 is too low for Byrne, who is 80, to return to the hot seat?


P.S: Ireland to win -4 is evens, -5 is 2/1 and -6 is 4/1. 

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Will Slattery


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