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Goldman Sachs have crunched the numbers and found a MASSIVE favourite for the World Cup

*drumroll*

AS IT DOES every time there’s a big international sporting event, Goldman Sachs has produced a huge report, available to the public, analysing the World Cup, both from a perspective of the actual games and from an economic perspective.

Without wasting anyone’s time, here’s the firm’s odds for each time winning it all. As you can see, Brazil is a massive favourite, with nearly 50% chance of being champions:

screen shot 2014-05-28 at 4.26.47 am

Goldman also points out that it’s giving Brazil much higher odds of victory than the bookies, implying that you should probably bet on them.

screen shot 2014-05-28 at 4.27.00 am

Goldman gives four reasons why Brazil is such a strong favorite:

  • Brazil is the highest rated team in its index of raw team skill.
  • Brazil has an excellent history in World Cup tournaments.
  • Home advantage is a big predictor of success in the sport, and of course the World Cup is in Brazil.
  • Home continent advantage is a big thing for Latin American teams, and no European team has ever won a World Cup in the Americas.

This chart breaks down why Goldman says Brazil has nearly a 50% shot.

screen shot 2014-05-28 at 4.33.07 am

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Published with permission from:

Business Insider
Business Insider is a business site with strong financial, media and tech focus.

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